In one of my previous write ups, I sketched the most likely scenario of India facing deflation pretty soon. In this write up, I will describe various responses that RBI should have to have for this emerging black swan event. (Black Swan as far as markets and policy makers are concerned.) Strategic Response: Narrower, Lower, Forever inflation […]
In response to one of my previous blogs, some readers privately raised questions as to why I think AI will emerge spontaneously. Here is my detailed reasoning. Internet will become denser by a big factor in next eight years We all know that number of connected devices on internet is increasing rapidly. In 1992, the number of […]
The latest reading of Indian CPI came in at 1.54% for June 2017. This is the first time the inflation has breached RBI band of 2% to 6%. I am sure there would be a lot of soul searching going on at offices of many authorities as to what it means. At Decimal Point Analytics, our analysis […]
In this note we will see how behavior of RBI in recent years is proving a relative impediment to economic growth. In order to analyze inflation, this author prefers to study behavior of GDP deflator over a period of three years. The chart below shows the excess of three year CAGR of Indian GDP deflator over OECD […]
Singularity is the biggest threat Nearly all futurists, who think about technology, agree that singularity is between half a generation to two generations away from today. Most of them, except notably Ray Kurtzweil, think that a superintelligent AI will be as indifferent to the needs and aspirations of humans just the way we humans are indifferent to […]
Recently, I became aware of a philosophical topic “The Repugnant Paradox” via an excellent YouTube Video http://bit.ly/2tWEgf5. A more technical description of the paradox can be found at http://stanford.io/2tAbE9a. In short, the Paradox states that “For any possible population of at least ten billion people, all with a very high quality of life, there must be some […]
Across the world, AI is the talk of town for last two years or so. This area of enquiry is making significant strides day by day, covering more and more ground, and will catch up with animal level intelligence sooner rather than later. However, when one sees beyond the PR-doped headlines, one sees many hurdles – such […]
Recently, our Head of Talent Management pointed out to me that AI applications, mainly chatbots, seem carry the same biases that humans display. The irony is that it is possible, using current technologies, to engrain in AI a superior sense of morality, with logically consistent and hierarchical set of goals, and hence it is possible that AI […]
In my blog report published on the website of Decimal Point Analytics on 14th March 2011, I had posited that Jasmine Revolution (Arab Spring) is indicative of slow emergence of collective human consciousness, enabled by the Internet, while the problems in the Eurozone currency area at that time are indicative of the fact that our collective consciousness […]